Metrics

Failure risk multiplier

Engineering Overspending is sync tax plus failure risk cost plus incident cost. Failure risk cost is assumed even when nothing broke. Incident cost is only the breaks that landed in the period, and it is 0 when there were none.

The two costs stay separate. A quiet quarter still shows the cost of the risk. A quarter that did break still shows what those breaks cost in engineering hours.

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Measure the overspending. Then change what made it expensive.

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